An Analysis of the Marriage Squeeze Behavior in China Based on Multi-Agent Modeling

Ran WANG, Tian-Min ZHOU, Han-Dong LI

Abstract


Due to the effect of the long-term family planning policy, the imbalance sex ratio at birth in China is very severe and the birthrate of male has been significantly higher than women, which almost inevitably cause the phenomenon of male marriage squeeze in future Chinese marriage market. This paper uses multi-agent modeling to build a first marriage market model to simulate the actual features in China. On this basis, we analyze the effect of marriage squeeze on choice behavior in first marriage market. Our simulation results show that the male marriage squeeze will affect the stability of the marriage market, which not only change the time of seeking a spouse in both male and female, but also affect the age difference between the spouses.

Keywords


Marriage squeeze, Multi-agent modeling, First marriage, Marriage choice


DOI
10.12783/dtssehs/icss2016/9187

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